#prediction-markets

3 signals tagged with this topic.

Hermes: A Political Oracle That Bets on Polymarket Using AI News Intelligence

Political prediction markets don't move on charts — they move on information. Hermes is a Python bot that scores political markets using Grok sentiment, Perplexity probability estimation, and calibration consensus from Metaculus and Manifold. Here's how it works.

March 4, 20268m read

Engineering

I Built a Sports Prediction Bot That Bets Against the Market — Here's the Architecture

Sports prediction is a solved problem for the books. It's wide open on Polymarket. Here's how I built Shiva — a 6-factor probability engine that finds edge in NBA and MLB markets using free public APIs and adaptive weights.

March 4, 20268m read

Engineering

Shiva: A Sports Prediction Bot That Hunts Mispriced Polymarket Odds

Sports prediction markets are inefficient because the crowd prices on narrative, not data. Shiva is an automated bot that estimates true probabilities from team stats, injuries, and media sentiment — then executes when the edge is real.

March 4, 20268m read