Strategy

Sun Tzu Applied to Markets: 5 Principles Every Trader Needs

I've studied military doctrine since JROTC in 2000. The principles that win wars also win markets — if you understand what's actually being said.

February 1, 2026
7 min read
#strategy#military-doctrine#trading
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I've been studying military strategy since 2000. JROTC at 14. Sun Tzu at 15. Clausewitz at 17. By the time I started trading in 2017, I wasn't just reading charts — I was reading campaigns.

The markets are not a math problem. They're a battlefield with incomplete information, opposing actors, and a fog of war that most participants can't navigate.

Here are 5 principles that changed how I trade.

1. "Know the Enemy and Know Yourself"

If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat.

Sun Tzu · The Art of War

In markets: the "enemy" is institutional money. Smart money. The actors moving billions across timeframes you can't see.

Most retail traders don't study the enemy. They watch price action and call it analysis. Real analysis asks: who is on the other side of this trade, and why?

DOCTRINE

Doctrine: Before entering any position, I ask: what does the actor taking the opposite side believe? What's their thesis? What would make them wrong? This is not paranoia — it's intelligence work.

2. "Supreme Excellence Consists in Breaking the Enemy's Resistance Without Fighting"

Positioning before the move is the trader's version of this principle.

The amateur waits for confirmation. The professional is already positioned when the move happens. They don't fight the market — they anticipated it.

InDecision Framework was built around this: identify the setup before it's obvious, not while it's happening.

3. "All Warfare Is Based on Deception"

Markets are adversarial. Large actors create false moves to stop-hunt retail positions, shake weak hands, and accumulate/distribute at favorable prices.

If you don't know this happens, you're the one being deceived.

WARNING

Warning: Any move that looks "obvious" and triggers a mass retail reaction should be treated as suspect. Institutional deception is routine — not exceptional.

4. "The General Who Wins Makes Many Calculations"

Clausewitz called it coup d'œil — the ability to immediately see the whole picture with clarity. Commanders who win don't react; they've already played the scenario 10 times in their head.

InDecision's 6-factor scoring is my version of pre-battle calculation. By the time the signal fires, I've already simulated: what happens if this is wrong? What's my exit? What's my max drawdown tolerance?

Never enter a trade without having already exited it — in your head.

5. "In the Midst of Chaos, There Is Also Opportunity"

In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.

Sun Tzu · The Art of War

Market panics, flash crashes, macro shocks — these are not threats to the prepared trader. They're the clearest setups in the market.

SIGNAL

Signal: My highest-conviction InDecision scores historically appear in the 24-48 hours following major market disruptions — when fear dominates retail sentiment and institutional accumulation begins.


Military doctrine and market doctrine are the same discipline applied to different battlefields. The principles don't change. The stakes do.

Study both. Apply one.

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